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DISH Network Class A Common Stock
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EchoStar Class A Common Stock
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Date
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Low
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High
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Low
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October 2, 2023
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| | | $ | 5.92 | | | | | $ | 5.57 | | | | | $ | 5.59 | | | | | $ | 16.87 | | | | | $ | 15.99 | | | | | $ | 16.06 | | |
November 3, 2023
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| | | $ | 5.56 | | | | | $ | 5.28 | | | | | $ | 5.49 | | | | | $ | 15.76 | | | | | $ | 14.95 | | | | | $ | 15.44 | | |
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EchoStar Class A Common Stock
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DISH Network Class A Common Stock
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Date
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High
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Low
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High
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Low
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October 2, 2023
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| | | $ | 16.87 | | | | | $ | 15.99 | | | | | $ | 16.06 | | | | | $ | 5.92 | | | | | $ | 5.61 | | | | | $ | 5.64 | | |
November 3, 2023
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| | | $ | 15.76 | | | | | $ | 14.95 | | | | | $ | 15.44 | | | | | $ | 5.53 | | | | | $ | 5.25 | | | | | $ | 5.42 | | |
Company
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| |
2023 Adj.
FV/EBITDA |
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EchoStar Corp (street – unaffected)(1)
|
| | | | 1.8x | | |
ViaSat, Inc.
|
| | | | 6.3x | | |
Eutelsat Communications SA/OneWeb Holdings Ltd (pro forma)(2)(3)
|
| | | | 7.6x | | |
SES SA (adjusted)(3)
|
| | | | 4.6x | | |
Eutelsat Communications SA (unaffected)(3)(4)
|
| | | | 5.1x | | |
Telesat Corporation (adjusted)(3)(5)
|
| | | | 4.1x | | |
Al Yah Satellite Communications Company PJSC (YahSat)
|
| | | | 6.5x | | |
Mean | | | | | 5.7x | | |
Median | | | | | 5.7x | | |
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Implied Equity Value per Share
|
|
EchoStar | | | | |
Standalone
|
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$37.34 to $46.34
|
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Standalone plus operating expense, revenue and tax synergies
|
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$47.01 to $57.27
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Standalone plus operating expense, revenue, tax synergies and 50% of cost of capital synergies
|
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$77.22 to $107.96
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Standalone plus operating expense, revenue, tax synergies and 100% of cost of capital synergies
|
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$107.42 to $158.64
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|
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Adj. Firm Value
to EBITDA Ratio |
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| | |
2023 Estimated
|
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SES SA (Adjusted)(1)
|
| | | | 4.6x | | |
Cyfrowy Polsat SA
|
| | | | 5.3x | | |
Digi Communications N.V.
|
| | | | 4.1x | | |
Sun TV Network Ltd
|
| | | | 7.8x | | |
Astro Malaysia Holdings Bhd
|
| | | | 4.6x | | |
Mean | | | | | 5.3x | | |
Median | | | | | 4.6x | | |
| | |
Adj. Firm Value
to EBITDA Ratio |
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| | |
2023 Estimated
|
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Verizon Communications Inc
|
| | | | 6.2x | | |
AT&T, Inc.
|
| | | | 5.9x | | |
T-Mobile US Inc(1)
|
| | | | 8.5x | | |
United States Cellular Corporation (unaffected)(2)(3)
|
| | | | 5.5x | | |
Mean | | | | | 6.5x | | |
Median | | | | | 6.1x | | |
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Implied Exchange Ratio
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Low
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High
|
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Public Trading Multiples Analysis
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| | | | 0.048386x | | | | | | 0.390221x | | |
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Standalone (sum of parts) before synergies
|
| | | | 0.330704x | | | | | | 0.827346x | | |
Standalone plus operating expense, revenue and tax synergies
|
| | | | 0.267584x | | | | | | 0.657142x | | |
Standalone plus operating expense, revenue, tax synergies and 50% of cost of capital synergies
|
| | | | 0.141954x | | | | | | 0.400018x | | |
Standalone plus operating expense, revenue, tax synergies and 100% of cost of capital synergies
|
| | | | 0.096601x | | | | | | 0.287573x | | |
Methodology
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Mean
|
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Median
|
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Enterprise Value / CY23E Adjusted EBITDA
|
| | | | 9.4x | | | | | | 6.9x | | |
Enterprise Value / CY24E Adjusted EBITDA
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| | | | 8.9x | | | | | | 6.8x | | |
Methodology
|
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Implied Equity Values
Per Share |
|
Enterprise Value / 2023E Adjusted EBITDA Multiple
|
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$22.86 – $35.27
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Enterprise Value / 2024E Adjusted EBITDA Multiple
|
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$20.15 – $31.69
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|
Methodology
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Mean
|
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Median
|
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Enterprise Value / 2023E Adjusted EBITDA
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| | | | 6.7x | | | | | | 6.5x | | |
Enterprise Value / 2024E Adjusted EBITDA
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| | | | 6.4x | | | | | | 6.4x | | |
Methodology
|
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Implied Equity Values
Per Share |
|
Enterprise Value / 2023E Pay-TV OIBDA Multiple
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$12.86 – $44.72
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Enterprise Value / 2024E Pay-TV OIBDA Multiple
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$8.72 – $40.73
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Implied Exchange Ratio
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Year
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DISH Network Midpoint /
EchoStar Midpoint |
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DISH Network Low & High /
EchoStar Midpoint |
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2023
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| | | | 1.003396x | | | | | | 0.441721x – 1.536571x | | |
2024
|
| | | | 0.962513x | | | | | | 0.335439x – 1.567248x | | |
Methodology
|
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Implied Equity Values
Per Share |
|
Perpetuity Growth Rate Method
|
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$34.33 – $43.47
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|
Terminal Multiple Method
|
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$36.07 – $42.40
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|
Methodology
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Implied Equity Values
Per Share |
|
Perpetuity Growth Rate Method (DISH Network Management Forecasts)
|
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$14.96 – $49.84
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Terminal Multiple Method (DISH Network Management Forecasts)
|
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$19.75 – $44.79
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Perpetuity Growth Rate Method (EchoStar Management Adjusted DISH Network Management Forecasts)
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$8.97 – $41.08
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Terminal Multiple Method (EchoStar Management Adjusted DISH Network Management Forecasts)
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$13.09 – $36.00
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Implied Exchange Ratio
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Methodology
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DISH Network
Midpoint / EchoStar Midpoint |
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DISH Network Low &
High / EchoStar Midpoint |
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Perpetuity Growth Rate Method (DISH Network Management Forecasts)
|
| | | | 0.762718x | | | | | | 0.392954x – 1.308915x | | |
Terminal Multiple Method (DISH Network Management Forecasts)
|
| | | | 0.795085x | | | | | | 0.503876x – 1.142797x | | |
Perpetuity Growth Rate Method (EchoStar Management Adjusted DISH Network Management Forecasts)
|
| | | | 0.570300x | | | | | | 0.235654x – 1.078781x |